Ukraine is currently facing an extremely difficult choice. Russia demands the full withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from all areas under Kyiv’s control in Donetsk, including the strategically important cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk. Although Moscow has been unable to capture these cities for years, it now insists that Kyiv evacuate them completely.

Axar.az informs that this was reported by the Financial Times.

The publication notes that Kyiv, as expected, does not accept this plan, which effectively amounts to capitulation. However, continuing the fighting also carries serious risks: the situation on the front is worsening, personnel shortages and equipment losses are increasing, and Russia is expanding its offensive operations. The article states that if current conditions do not change, Moscow could control all of Donbas by 2026.

FT authors emphasize that Ukraine is in a “logic trap” — whichever decision is made, heavy consequences are inevitable: either accept a “flawed peace” or risk further escalation. Political analyst Dan Reiter notes that ending the war requires trust between the parties and a balanced military situation. In the current conflict, the main problem is ensuring commitments — neither the U.S. nor Europe can provide Kyiv with long-term security guarantees.

The article stresses that the uncertain enforcement mechanisms in the proposed “peace plan” do not resolve the trust deficit. Without clear guarantees, Ukraine could lose territory, and Russia could attempt to resume its offensive under favorable conditions.

Nevertheless, journalists note that the front is not on the verge of collapse — the Ukrainian army retains combat capability, and it will not be easy for Russia to capture Slovyansk and Kramatorsk by 2026. However, the overall dynamics are unfavorable for Kyiv — Moscow’s resources are greater, strengthening its negotiating position.

The FT warns that adopting a peace plan based on territorial loss and restricted defensive sovereignty could trigger a trust crisis between Ukraine’s political and military leadership. Refusing the proposal could result in further exhaustion and losses. Ultimately, Ukraine faces a dilemma: “worse now, or worse later?”