A new poll suggests Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is on track for a decisive parliamentary victory in the upcoming 7 June elections, potentially securing a strong mandate to continue the country’s pro-Western shift.

Axar.az reports, citing Euronews, the Breavis survey, conducted between 5–11 May among 1,551 respondents, projects that Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party could win nearly 65% of decided voters, far ahead of a fragmented opposition, none of which surpasses 12%.

If confirmed at the ballot box, the result would strengthen Pashinyan’s position to deepen Armenia’s strategic realignment toward the West, including closer ties with the European Union and continued implementation of the peace framework with Azerbaijan.

The report comes amid escalating tensions with Moscow, which has warned against Yerevan’s Western pivot and introduced economic measures affecting Armenian exports. Russian officials have also compared Armenia’s trajectory to Ukraine’s situation, signaling growing geopolitical friction.

Armenia’s government has also faced pressure from Russia-led regional structures, which have urged a referendum on the country’s long-term alignment between the EU and Moscow-led blocs.

The election is widely seen as a pivotal moment that could define Armenia’s foreign policy direction for years to come.