In terms of channelling votes to candidates, Zafar Party chairman Umid Ozdag has more room for manoeuvre than Sinan Ogan, the former presidential candidate of AA Union.

Axar.az reports that these words were said by the head of the Caucasus Strategic Research Center (CSRC), Professor Hasan Ogtay.

"Almost everyone in Turkiye expected Sinan Ogan to announce his decision as a candidate for the AA Union. However, the said alliance fell apart, and Ogan announced that he would support Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Most of those who voted for him are those who are dissatisfied with Erdogan and Kılıchdaroghlu. The last decision of Sinan Ogan, who behaved distantly toward both the Republic and the Union of Nations and mostly criticized the former, created a shock effect on the voters. For this reason, in my opinion, it will not be possible for Ogan to direct the votes collected by Republican Union to Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the second round. Umid Ozdag, chairman of the Zafar Party, decided to support the National Union after meeting with Kemal Kılıchdaroghlu yesterday. The difference here is that Zafar Party as a political entity has collected 2% of the votes, and since Ozdag also represents his party, it will be easier to direct the collected votes to Kılıchdaroghlu.

Hasan Ogtay said that there are advantages and disadvantages for both sides in the second round, and these will determine the winner:

"Currently, the government and the opposition front are announcing their plans for Syrian refugees. However, Ozdag's words after the meeting with JDP deputy chairman Numan Gurtulmus were the first symptoms of his rapprochement with the National Union. At the same time, this can be considered as an attack of the opposition against the Republican Union. Because the population sees the causes of economic difficulties in Syrian refugees. The support of the National Union of the Victory Party, which is very focused on this issue, is a factor that brings the population closer to Kılıchdaroghlu.

Of course, Recep Tayyip Erdogan will enter the second round in a more advantageous manner with 49.5% of the votes he collected in the first round. However, we will be able to see whether the Republican Union will be able to gather all the votes in the same form, or whether the Sinan Ogan factor will provide +1% only after the election. If Kılıchdaroghlu can convince and keep the Labor Union, he will increase his opportunities. At the same time, the National Union's propaganda on Syrians and not addressing economic issues can become an opportunity for the government."