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Trump will lean slightly more toward Azerbaijan

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The new U.S. administration is skeptical of the actions taken by its predecessor, so Trump's team will reassess the geopolitical benefits for the U.S. of the recently signed agreement between Armenia and the U.S.

Axar.az reports that this was stated by Matthew Orr, an analyst on Eurasian affairs at the American intelligence and analytical center Stratfor.

"Moreover, the new administration has an even tougher stance on Iran and sees Turkey and Azerbaijan as countries that can counterbalance Iran in the region. That is why it is very important for them to maintain good relations with Azerbaijan.

At the same time, I believe that the U.S. will continue to maintain normal relations with Armenia. Pashinyan came to Washington to strengthen ties and ensure that the provisions of the agreement signed under the previous administration remain in place. And I think they will be preserved.

However, the U.S. will lean slightly more toward Azerbaijan—this is a cold geopolitical calculation," the expert emphasized.

He is not sure that the Trump administration will be more focused on the South Caucasus than the previous administration.

Orr explained that the strategic agreement between the U.S. and Armenia does not imply strong U.S. intervention in the event of a military escalation by Azerbaijan.

"Since the new administration wants to maintain even stronger ties with both Turkiye and Azerbaijan than the previous administration, I don’t think they will decisively intervene. At the same time, we cannot say for certain what Trump will do. There will be intense internal struggles within the administration regarding Armenia and Azerbaijan as well," the expert concluded.

Date
2025.02.07 / 15:24
Author
Axar.az
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