Russia is growing increasingly concerned about the potential fallout from Iran’s escalating conflict with Israel, fearing the loss of another key ally in the Middle East after Syria’s Bashar al-Assad was deposed in December.

Axar.az, citing BBC, reports that although Russia signed a strategic partnership with Iran in January 2025, the agreement does not obligate Moscow to provide military support.

While the conflict has offered Russia some short-term benefits—like higher oil prices and global distraction from the war in Ukraine—experts warn that prolonged fighting could damage Russia’s image and influence in the region. Moscow has only issued political condemnations of Israel and is not prepared to assist Iran militarily, exposing the limits of its commitment.

Russia also depends on Iranian drones in Ukraine, deepening its stake in the relationship. As Putin attends the St. Petersburg Economic Forum this week, all eyes will be on whether he addresses the Middle East crisis or Russia’s broader geopolitical standing.